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So,<00:00:00.240><c> I'm</c><00:00:00.480><c> at</c><00:00:00.640><c> my</c><00:00:00.719><c> in-laws</c><00:00:01.280><c> house</c><00:00:01.520><c> this</c><00:00:01.839><c> weekend</c>

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So, I'm at my in-laws house this weekend
 

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So, I'm at my in-laws house this weekend
on<00:00:03.040><c> Sunday,</c><00:00:03.520><c> and</c><00:00:03.760><c> you</c><00:00:03.919><c> know,</c><00:00:04.080><c> there's</c><00:00:04.319><c> food,</c>

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on Sunday, and you know, there's food,
 

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on Sunday, and you know, there's food,
there's<00:00:05.040><c> family,</c><00:00:05.680><c> there's</c><00:00:05.920><c> a</c><00:00:06.240><c> child</c><00:00:06.560><c> who</c><00:00:06.879><c> I</c><00:00:07.040><c> am</c>

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there's family, there's a child who I am
 

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there's family, there's a child who I am
told<00:00:07.440><c> is</c><00:00:07.600><c> mine,</c><00:00:08.080><c> two</c><00:00:08.320><c> of</c><00:00:08.400><c> them,</c><00:00:08.559><c> if</c><00:00:08.800><c> I</c><00:00:08.880><c> recall</c>

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told is mine, two of them, if I recall
 

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told is mine, two of them, if I recall
correctly.<00:00:09.920><c> And</c><00:00:10.080><c> I'm</c><00:00:10.240><c> sitting</c><00:00:10.480><c> there</c><00:00:10.559><c> in</c><00:00:10.719><c> the</c>

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correctly. And I'm sitting there in the
 

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correctly. And I'm sitting there in the
corner<00:00:11.120><c> like</c><00:00:11.280><c> an</c><00:00:11.519><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:00:12.080><c> swiping</c>

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corner like an [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] swiping
 

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corner like an [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] swiping
furiously<00:00:13.280><c> on</c><00:00:13.519><c> my</c><00:00:13.759><c> phone,</c><00:00:14.480><c> sweating</c><00:00:15.280><c> because</c>

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furiously on my phone, sweating because
 

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furiously on my phone, sweating because
at<00:00:16.080><c> 2:00</c><00:00:16.400><c> a.m.</c><00:00:16.560><c> the</c><00:00:16.800><c> night</c><00:00:17.039><c> before,</c><00:00:17.520><c> I</c><00:00:17.680><c> had</c><00:00:17.840><c> a</c>

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at 2:00 a.m. the night before, I had a
 

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at 2:00 a.m. the night before, I had a
thought,<00:00:18.560><c> which</c><00:00:18.800><c> I</c><00:00:19.119><c> should</c><00:00:19.359><c> not</c><00:00:19.600><c> have</c><00:00:19.840><c> had,</c>

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thought, which I should not have had,
 

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thought, which I should not have had,
which<00:00:20.640><c> is,</c><00:00:21.279><c> what</c><00:00:21.439><c> if</c><00:00:21.760><c> AGI</c><00:00:22.640><c> is</c><00:00:22.960><c> possible?</c><00:00:23.760><c> I</c>

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which is, what if AGI is possible? I
 

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which is, what if AGI is possible? I
posted<00:00:24.320><c> a</c><00:00:24.560><c> membersonly</c><00:00:25.279><c> video</c><00:00:25.600><c> the</c><00:00:25.840><c> other</c><00:00:26.000><c> day</c>

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posted a membersonly video the other day
 

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posted a membersonly video the other day
confessing<00:00:27.199><c> that</c><00:00:27.439><c> I</c><00:00:27.599><c> had</c><00:00:27.920><c> accidentally</c>

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confessing that I had accidentally
 

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confessing that I had accidentally
wandered<00:00:29.119><c> into</c><00:00:29.519><c> a</c><00:00:29.760><c> sketchy</c><00:00:30.160><c> part</c><00:00:30.320><c> of</c><00:00:30.560><c> my</c><00:00:30.720><c> brain</c>

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wandered into a sketchy part of my brain
 

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wandered into a sketchy part of my brain
where<00:00:31.519><c> I</c><00:00:31.760><c> entertained</c><00:00:32.239><c> the</c><00:00:32.480><c> idea</c><00:00:32.800><c> that</c><00:00:33.200><c> AGI</c>

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where I entertained the idea that AGI
 

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where I entertained the idea that AGI
could<00:00:34.079><c> be</c><00:00:34.320><c> possible</c><00:00:34.960><c> in</c><00:00:35.280><c> theory</c><00:00:36.000><c> and</c><00:00:36.239><c> is</c><00:00:36.480><c> an</c>

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could be possible in theory and is an
 

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could be possible in theory and is an
engineering<00:00:37.200><c> problem</c><00:00:37.600><c> that</c><00:00:37.840><c> could</c><00:00:38.079><c> be</c><00:00:38.239><c> solved</c>

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engineering problem that could be solved
 

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engineering problem that could be solved
in<00:00:38.800><c> a</c><00:00:39.040><c> couple</c><00:00:39.200><c> hundred</c><00:00:39.520><c> years</c><00:00:39.840><c> or</c><00:00:40.079><c> so.</c><00:00:40.480><c> And</c>

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in a couple hundred years or so. And
 

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in a couple hundred years or so. And
from<00:00:40.800><c> the</c><00:00:41.040><c> moment</c><00:00:41.200><c> I</c><00:00:41.360><c> woke</c><00:00:41.600><c> up</c><00:00:41.760><c> yesterday</c><00:00:42.320><c> to</c>

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from the moment I woke up yesterday to
 

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from the moment I woke up yesterday to
about<00:00:42.879><c> the</c><00:00:43.120><c> time</c><00:00:43.200><c> I</c><00:00:43.440><c> went</c><00:00:43.600><c> to</c><00:00:43.840><c> sleep,</c><00:00:44.399><c> I</c><00:00:44.719><c> was</c>

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about the time I went to sleep, I was
 

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about the time I went to sleep, I was
reading<00:00:45.760><c> reading</c><00:00:46.079><c> about</c><00:00:46.399><c> AGI</c><00:00:47.039><c> and</c>

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reading reading about AGI and
 

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reading reading about AGI and
intelligence<00:00:47.920><c> and</c><00:00:48.160><c> what</c><00:00:48.399><c> other</c><00:00:48.719><c> scientists</c>

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intelligence and what other scientists
 

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intelligence and what other scientists
and<00:00:49.440><c> authors</c><00:00:49.920><c> believe.</c><00:00:50.640><c> and</c><00:00:50.879><c> I've</c><00:00:51.280><c> decided</c>

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and authors believe. and I've decided
 

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and authors believe. and I've decided
that<00:00:52.719><c> I'm</c><00:00:53.120><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:00:54.000><c> out.</c><00:00:54.800><c> I</c><00:00:55.039><c> dipped</c><00:00:55.360><c> one</c><00:00:55.600><c> foot</c>

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that I'm [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] out. I dipped one foot
 

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that I'm [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] out. I dipped one foot
into<00:00:56.079><c> the</c><00:00:56.239><c> cult</c><00:00:56.559><c> of</c><00:00:56.719><c> AGI</c><00:00:57.440><c> by</c><00:00:57.760><c> accident</c><00:00:58.399><c> and</c><00:00:58.719><c> now</c>

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into the cult of AGI by accident and now
 

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into the cult of AGI by accident and now
I'm<00:00:59.120><c> noping</c><00:00:59.600><c> the</c><00:00:59.760><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:01:00.079><c> back</c><00:01:00.320><c> out.</c><00:01:00.800><c> I</c><00:01:00.960><c> mean,</c>

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I'm noping the [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] back out. I mean,
 

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I'm noping the [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] back out. I mean,
I'm<00:01:01.359><c> absolutely</c><00:01:01.840><c> flabbergasted</c><00:01:02.640><c> to</c><00:01:02.879><c> find</c><00:01:03.039><c> out</c>

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I'm absolutely flabbergasted to find out
 

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I'm absolutely flabbergasted to find out
that<00:01:03.600><c> David</c><00:01:03.920><c> Deutsch,</c><00:01:04.479><c> the</c><00:01:04.720><c> father</c><00:01:05.199><c> of</c>

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that David Deutsch, the father of
 

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that David Deutsch, the father of
quantum<00:01:06.080><c> computing</c><00:01:06.720><c> and</c><00:01:07.040><c> the</c><00:01:07.200><c> author</c><00:01:07.439><c> of</c><00:01:07.520><c> the</c>

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quantum computing and the author of the
 

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quantum computing and the author of the
book<00:01:07.920><c> The</c><00:01:08.080><c> Beginning</c><00:01:08.320><c> of</c><00:01:08.479><c> Infinity,</c><00:01:09.360><c> doesn't</c>

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book The Beginning of Infinity, doesn't
 

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book The Beginning of Infinity, doesn't
even<00:01:09.920><c> believe</c><00:01:10.400><c> animals</c><00:01:11.119><c> are</c><00:01:11.439><c> intelligent</c><00:01:12.159><c> or</c>

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even believe animals are intelligent or
 

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even believe animals are intelligent or
conscious.<00:01:13.280><c> Like</c><00:01:13.520><c> I'm</c><00:01:13.680><c> sitting</c><00:01:13.920><c> here</c><00:01:14.159><c> trying</c>

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conscious. Like I'm sitting here trying
 

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conscious. Like I'm sitting here trying
to<00:01:14.479><c> determine</c><00:01:14.880><c> if</c><00:01:15.119><c> a</c><00:01:15.360><c> Python</c><00:01:15.760><c> script</c><00:01:16.159><c> can</c><00:01:16.400><c> be</c>

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to determine if a Python script can be
 

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to determine if a Python script can be
generally<00:01:17.200><c> intelligent</c><00:01:17.840><c> and</c><00:01:18.159><c> this</c><00:01:18.320><c> man</c><00:01:18.560><c> is</c>

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generally intelligent and this man is
 

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generally intelligent and this man is
like<00:01:18.960><c> dogs</c><00:01:19.439><c> aren't</c><00:01:19.759><c> even</c><00:01:19.920><c> alive.</c><00:01:20.560><c> At</c><00:01:20.799><c> that</c>

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like dogs aren't even alive. At that
 

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like dogs aren't even alive. At that
point<00:01:21.119><c> I</c><00:01:21.280><c> was</c><00:01:21.360><c> like,</c><00:01:21.439><c> "Okay,</c><00:01:21.840><c> you</c><00:01:22.000><c> know</c><00:01:22.000><c> what?</c>

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point I was like, "Okay, you know what?
 

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point I was like, "Okay, you know what?
I'm<00:01:22.720><c> out."</c><00:01:23.200><c> Like</c><00:01:23.520><c> if</c><00:01:23.759><c> that's</c><00:01:23.920><c> where</c><00:01:24.080><c> the</c><00:01:24.320><c> line</c>

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I'm out." Like if that's where the line
 

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I'm out." Like if that's where the line
is<00:01:24.720><c> right</c><00:01:24.960><c> now,</c><00:01:25.119><c> if</c><00:01:25.360><c> there</c><00:01:25.600><c> are</c><00:01:25.840><c> cases</c><00:01:26.320><c> being</c>

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is right now, if there are cases being
 

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is right now, if there are cases being
made<00:01:26.960><c> that</c><00:01:27.360><c> animals</c><00:01:28.159><c> aren't</c><00:01:28.640><c> intelligent,</c>

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made that animals aren't intelligent,
 

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made that animals aren't intelligent,
then<00:01:29.840><c> how</c><00:01:30.000><c> the</c><00:01:30.159><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:01:30.320><c> are</c><00:01:30.479><c> we</c><00:01:30.720><c> even</c><00:01:30.880><c> having</c><00:01:31.119><c> a</c>

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then how the [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] are we even having a
 

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then how the [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] are we even having a
conversation<00:01:32.079><c> about</c><00:01:32.479><c> whether</c><00:01:33.360><c> computers</c><00:01:34.079><c> are</c>

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conversation about whether computers are
 

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conversation about whether computers are
intelligent<00:01:35.040><c> or</c><00:01:35.280><c> what</c><00:01:35.439><c> the</c><00:01:35.600><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:01:35.840><c> it</c><00:01:36.000><c> would</c>

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intelligent or what the [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] it would
 

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intelligent or what the [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] it would
mean<00:01:36.400><c> for</c><00:01:36.560><c> them</c><00:01:36.799><c> to</c><00:01:36.960><c> be</c><00:01:37.200><c> generally</c>

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mean for them to be generally
 

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mean for them to be generally
intelligent?<00:01:38.720><c> There</c><00:01:38.960><c> are</c><00:01:39.119><c> no</c><00:01:39.520><c> definitions</c>

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intelligent? There are no definitions
 

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intelligent? There are no definitions
for<00:01:40.479><c> any</c><00:01:40.720><c> of</c><00:01:40.880><c> these</c><00:01:41.119><c> terms</c><00:01:41.439><c> that</c><00:01:41.680><c> we</c><00:01:41.840><c> are</c>

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for any of these terms that we are
 

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for any of these terms that we are
claiming<00:01:42.479><c> exists</c><00:01:42.960><c> or</c><00:01:43.200><c> is</c><00:01:43.439><c> even</c><00:01:43.680><c> possible.</c>

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claiming exists or is even possible.
 

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claiming exists or is even possible.
There<00:01:44.560><c> is</c><00:01:44.720><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:01:45.200><c> nothing.</c><00:01:45.920><c> AGI</c><00:01:46.479><c> is</c><00:01:46.720><c> some</c>

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There is [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] nothing. AGI is some
 

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There is [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] nothing. AGI is some
sort<00:01:47.040><c> of</c><00:01:47.280><c> materialists</c><00:01:48.079><c> propaganda</c><00:01:48.799><c> wet</c>

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sort of materialists propaganda wet
 

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sort of materialists propaganda wet
dream<00:01:49.280><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:01:50.000><c> I</c><00:01:50.320><c> am</c><00:01:50.479><c> absolutely</c><00:01:51.119><c> livid</c>

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dream [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] I am absolutely livid
 

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dream [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] I am absolutely livid
because<00:01:52.079><c> I</c><00:01:52.399><c> spent</c><00:01:52.799><c> 12</c><00:01:53.200><c> hours</c><00:01:53.759><c> reading</c><00:01:54.079><c> up</c><00:01:54.240><c> on</c>

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because I spent 12 hours reading up on
 

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because I spent 12 hours reading up on
this<00:01:54.640><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:01:54.880><c> yesterday</c><00:01:55.600><c> and</c><00:01:55.759><c> I'm</c><00:01:56.079><c> absolutely</c>

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this [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] yesterday and I'm absolutely
 

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this [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] yesterday and I'm absolutely
exhausted.<00:01:57.680><c> My</c><00:01:57.920><c> wife</c><00:01:58.079><c> was</c><00:01:58.240><c> like,</c><00:01:58.320><c> "Honey,</c><00:01:58.719><c> can</c>

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exhausted. My wife was like, "Honey, can
 

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exhausted. My wife was like, "Honey, can
you<00:01:58.960><c> put</c><00:01:59.200><c> down</c><00:01:59.360><c> your</c><00:01:59.600><c> phone</c><00:01:59.840><c> and</c><00:02:00.159><c> acknowledge</c>

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you put down your phone and acknowledge
 

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you put down your phone and acknowledge
my<00:02:00.880><c> mother?"</c><00:02:01.200><c> And</c><00:02:01.360><c> I</c><00:02:01.439><c> was</c><00:02:01.600><c> like,</c><00:02:01.600><c> "Not</c><00:02:01.920><c> now,</c>

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my mother?" And I was like, "Not now,
 

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my mother?" And I was like, "Not now,
babe.<00:02:02.560><c> I've</c><00:02:02.719><c> got</c><00:02:02.880><c> to</c><00:02:03.040><c> figure</c><00:02:03.200><c> out</c><00:02:03.360><c> whether</c>

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babe. I've got to figure out whether
 

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babe. I've got to figure out whether
intelligence<00:02:04.240><c> is</c><00:02:04.479><c> possible."</c><00:02:05.040><c> The</c><00:02:05.200><c> worst</c>

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intelligence is possible." The worst
 

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intelligence is possible." The worst
part<00:02:05.600><c> is</c><00:02:05.759><c> that</c><00:02:05.920><c> it's</c><00:02:06.079><c> not</c><00:02:06.240><c> even</c><00:02:06.399><c> clear</c><00:02:06.719><c> what</c>

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part is that it's not even clear what
 

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part is that it's not even clear what
problem<00:02:07.439><c> AGI</c><00:02:08.080><c> would</c><00:02:08.319><c> solve.</c><00:02:08.959><c> Like</c><00:02:09.280><c> why</c><00:02:09.520><c> would</c>

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problem AGI would solve. Like why would
 

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problem AGI would solve. Like why would
you<00:02:09.840><c> need</c><00:02:10.000><c> AGI</c><00:02:10.640><c> to</c><00:02:10.879><c> do</c><00:02:11.039><c> a</c><00:02:11.280><c> coding</c><00:02:11.680><c> task?</c><00:02:12.239><c> Why</c>

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you need AGI to do a coding task? Why
 

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you need AGI to do a coding task? Why
would<00:02:12.640><c> you</c><00:02:12.800><c> need</c><00:02:12.959><c> a</c><00:02:13.200><c> general</c><00:02:13.760><c> intelligence</c><00:02:14.400><c> to</c>

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would you need a general intelligence to
 

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would you need a general intelligence to
do<00:02:14.800><c> that?</c><00:02:15.200><c> What</c><00:02:15.440><c> does</c><00:02:15.599><c> that</c><00:02:15.920><c> offer</c><00:02:16.480><c> on</c><00:02:16.720><c> top</c><00:02:16.879><c> of</c>

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do that? What does that offer on top of
 

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do that? What does that offer on top of
current<00:02:17.440><c> generation</c><00:02:18.000><c> LLMs?</c><00:02:18.879><c> In</c><00:02:19.120><c> fact,</c><00:02:19.280><c> for</c>

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current generation LLMs? In fact, for
 

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current generation LLMs? In fact, for
things<00:02:19.680><c> like</c><00:02:19.920><c> coding,</c><00:02:20.319><c> you</c><00:02:20.560><c> don't</c><00:02:20.720><c> want</c>

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things like coding, you don't want
 

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things like coding, you don't want
generality.<00:02:21.920><c> You</c><00:02:22.080><c> want</c><00:02:22.239><c> the</c><00:02:22.480><c> opposite.</c><00:02:23.280><c> You</c>

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generality. You want the opposite. You
 

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generality. You want the opposite. You
want<00:02:23.680><c> specialization.</c><00:02:24.879><c> The</c><00:02:25.120><c> mid-level</c>

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want specialization. The mid-level
 

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want specialization. The mid-level
engineer<00:02:26.080><c> on</c><00:02:26.319><c> your</c><00:02:26.480><c> team</c><00:02:26.800><c> who's</c><00:02:27.200><c> been</c><00:02:27.360><c> working</c>

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engineer on your team who's been working
 

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engineer on your team who's been working
in<00:02:27.920><c> your</c><00:02:28.080><c> codebase</c><00:02:28.560><c> for</c><00:02:28.800><c> 10</c><00:02:29.040><c> years</c><00:02:29.760><c> writes</c><00:02:30.080><c> a</c>

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in your codebase for 10 years writes a
 

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in your codebase for 10 years writes a
lot<00:02:30.480><c> better</c><00:02:30.720><c> code</c><00:02:30.959><c> than</c><00:02:31.120><c> a</c><00:02:31.360><c> PhD</c><00:02:31.760><c> level</c>

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lot better code than a PhD level
 

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lot better code than a PhD level
engineer<00:02:32.400><c> who</c><00:02:32.640><c> you</c><00:02:32.879><c> just</c><00:02:33.120><c> hired</c><00:02:33.519><c> who</c><00:02:33.680><c> isn't</c>

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engineer who you just hired who isn't
 

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engineer who you just hired who isn't
familiar<00:02:34.400><c> with</c><00:02:34.640><c> your</c><00:02:34.879><c> code.</c><00:02:35.440><c> It's</c><00:02:35.680><c> about</c>

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familiar with your code. It's about
 

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familiar with your code. It's about
carrying<00:02:36.319><c> the</c><00:02:36.560><c> whole</c><00:02:36.800><c> thing</c><00:02:36.959><c> in</c><00:02:37.200><c> your</c><00:02:37.440><c> head</c>

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carrying the whole thing in your head
 

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carrying the whole thing in your head
for<00:02:38.480><c> many,</c><00:02:38.959><c> many</c><00:02:39.360><c> years.</c><00:02:40.080><c> It's</c><00:02:40.319><c> about</c>

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for many, many years. It's about
 

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for many, many years. It's about
specializing<00:02:41.360><c> in</c><00:02:41.599><c> that</c><00:02:41.920><c> specific</c><00:02:42.400><c> code</c><00:02:42.800><c> base.</c>

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specializing in that specific code base.
 

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specializing in that specific code base.
The<00:02:43.599><c> problem</c><00:02:43.840><c> with</c><00:02:44.080><c> LLMs</c><00:02:44.720><c> today,</c><00:02:45.280><c> the</c><00:02:45.599><c> reason</c>

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The problem with LLMs today, the reason
 

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The problem with LLMs today, the reason
they<00:02:46.160><c> suck</c><00:02:46.480><c> balls</c><00:02:46.800><c> at</c><00:02:47.040><c> coding</c><00:02:47.440><c> is</c><00:02:47.680><c> they</c><00:02:48.000><c> can't</c>

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they suck balls at coding is they can't
 

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they suck balls at coding is they can't
hold<00:02:48.480><c> a</c><00:02:48.640><c> damn</c><00:02:48.959><c> thing</c><00:02:49.120><c> in</c><00:02:49.360><c> its</c><00:02:49.519><c> tiny</c><00:02:49.920><c> ass</c><00:02:50.160><c> head.</c>

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hold a damn thing in its tiny ass head.
 

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hold a damn thing in its tiny ass head.
And<00:02:50.879><c> the</c><00:02:51.200><c> whole</c><00:02:51.440><c> thing</c><00:02:51.760><c> not</c><00:02:52.000><c> even</c><00:02:52.239><c> being</c><00:02:52.480><c> the</c>

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And the whole thing not even being the
 

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And the whole thing not even being the
codebase<00:02:53.280><c> itself,</c><00:02:54.160><c> but</c><00:02:54.400><c> the</c><00:02:54.640><c> codebase</c><00:02:55.120><c> in</c><00:02:55.360><c> all</c>

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codebase itself, but the codebase in all
 

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codebase itself, but the codebase in all
the<00:02:55.680><c> intangibles</c><00:02:56.480><c> and</c><00:02:56.800><c> the</c><00:02:56.959><c> whole</c><00:02:57.280><c> business</c>

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the intangibles and the whole business
 

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the intangibles and the whole business
context<00:02:58.319><c> and</c><00:02:58.560><c> the</c><00:02:58.800><c> politics</c><00:02:59.519><c> and</c><00:02:59.760><c> the</c><00:03:00.000><c> reason</c>

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context and the politics and the reason
 

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context and the politics and the reason
your<00:03:00.400><c> stuckup</c><00:03:00.879><c> designer</c><00:03:01.360><c> will</c><00:03:01.519><c> literally</c>

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your stuckup designer will literally
 

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your stuckup designer will literally
quit<00:03:02.159><c> if</c><00:03:02.319><c> you</c><00:03:02.480><c> change</c><00:03:02.720><c> the</c><00:03:02.879><c> color</c><00:03:03.120><c> of</c><00:03:03.280><c> the</c>

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quit if you change the color of the
 

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quit if you change the color of the
button.<00:03:03.840><c> It's</c><00:03:04.080><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:03:04.480><c> impossible.</c><00:03:05.280><c> LLMs</c><00:03:05.840><c> by</c>

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button. It's [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] impossible. LLMs by
 

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button. It's [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] impossible. LLMs by
definition<00:03:06.560><c> are</c><00:03:06.879><c> doomed</c><00:03:07.200><c> to</c><00:03:07.440><c> fail</c><00:03:07.760><c> in</c><00:03:08.000><c> a</c>

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definition are doomed to fail in a
 

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definition are doomed to fail in a
codebase.<00:03:09.040><c> And</c><00:03:09.200><c> what</c><00:03:09.360><c> the</c><00:03:09.519><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:03:09.760><c> problem</c>

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codebase. And what the [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] problem
 

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codebase. And what the [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] problem
would<00:03:10.239><c> AGI</c><00:03:10.800><c> solve</c><00:03:11.040><c> here?</c><00:03:11.360><c> It's</c><00:03:11.519><c> a</c><00:03:11.680><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c>

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would AGI solve here? It's a [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]
 

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would AGI solve here? It's a [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]
context<00:03:12.640><c> problem.</c><00:03:13.200><c> It's</c><00:03:13.360><c> a</c><00:03:13.519><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c>

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context problem. It's a [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]
 

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context problem. It's a [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]
understanding<00:03:14.800><c> problem.</c><00:03:15.440><c> It's</c><00:03:15.680><c> a</c><00:03:15.920><c> being</c>

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understanding problem. It's a being
 

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understanding problem. It's a being
engrossed<00:03:17.200><c> problem.</c><00:03:17.840><c> soaking</c><00:03:18.239><c> yourself</c><00:03:18.640><c> in</c>

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engrossed problem. soaking yourself in
 

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engrossed problem. soaking yourself in
the<00:03:19.120><c> universe</c><00:03:19.599><c> of</c><00:03:19.840><c> the</c><00:03:20.080><c> problem</c><00:03:20.400><c> you're</c>

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the universe of the problem you're
 

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the universe of the problem you're
trying<00:03:20.879><c> to</c><00:03:21.120><c> solve.</c><00:03:21.760><c> An</c><00:03:22.000><c> AI</c><00:03:22.480><c> cannot</c><00:03:22.879><c> do</c><00:03:23.120><c> that.</c>

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trying to solve. An AI cannot do that.
 

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trying to solve. An AI cannot do that.
An<00:03:24.080><c> AI</c><00:03:24.560><c> cannot</c><00:03:25.040><c> understand</c><00:03:25.599><c> or</c><00:03:25.920><c> feel</c><00:03:26.239><c> or</c><00:03:26.560><c> soak</c>

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An AI cannot understand or feel or soak
 

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An AI cannot understand or feel or soak
or<00:03:27.120><c> engross.</c><00:03:28.080><c> David</c><00:03:28.480><c> Deutsch</c><00:03:29.040><c> argues</c><00:03:29.519><c> that</c>

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or engross. David Deutsch argues that
 

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or engross. David Deutsch argues that
because<00:03:30.000><c> they</c><00:03:30.239><c> seem</c><00:03:30.480><c> to</c><00:03:30.640><c> have</c><00:03:30.799><c> arrived</c><00:03:31.200><c> in</c><00:03:31.440><c> a</c>

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because they seem to have arrived in a
 

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because they seem to have arrived in a
package<00:03:32.000><c> at</c><00:03:32.239><c> once</c><00:03:32.560><c> in</c><00:03:32.799><c> the</c><00:03:32.959><c> form</c><00:03:33.200><c> of</c><00:03:33.360><c> a</c><00:03:33.599><c> human</c>

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package at once in the form of a human
 

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package at once in the form of a human
that<00:03:34.319><c> it</c><00:03:34.560><c> doesn't</c><00:03:34.720><c> even</c><00:03:34.879><c> make</c><00:03:35.040><c> sense</c><00:03:35.280><c> to</c>

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that it doesn't even make sense to
 

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that it doesn't even make sense to
separate<00:03:36.159><c> intelligence</c><00:03:36.799><c> from</c><00:03:37.120><c> consciousness</c>

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separate intelligence from consciousness
 

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separate intelligence from consciousness
and<00:03:38.000><c> personhood.</c><00:03:38.879><c> And</c><00:03:39.040><c> from</c><00:03:39.280><c> now</c><00:03:39.440><c> on,</c><00:03:39.920><c> I'm</c>

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and personhood. And from now on, I'm
 

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and personhood. And from now on, I'm
going<00:03:40.400><c> to</c><00:03:40.560><c> stop</c><00:03:40.879><c> pontificating</c><00:03:41.760><c> about</c><00:03:42.000><c> the</c>

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going to stop pontificating about the
 

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going to stop pontificating about the
future.<00:03:42.799><c> I'm</c><00:03:43.040><c> going</c><00:03:43.200><c> to</c><00:03:43.360><c> stop</c><00:03:43.599><c> giving</c><00:03:43.920><c> the</c>

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future. I'm going to stop giving the
 

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future. I'm going to stop giving the
technology<00:03:44.720><c> the</c><00:03:45.040><c> benefit</c><00:03:45.360><c> of</c><00:03:45.599><c> the</c><00:03:45.840><c> doubt</c><00:03:46.239><c> and</c>

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technology the benefit of the doubt and
 

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technology the benefit of the doubt and
the<00:03:46.720><c> benefit</c><00:03:47.040><c> of</c><00:03:47.360><c> progress</c><00:03:47.840><c> and</c>

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the benefit of progress and
 

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the benefit of progress and
extrapolation.<00:03:49.200><c> I'm</c><00:03:49.360><c> going</c><00:03:49.440><c> to</c><00:03:49.519><c> take</c><00:03:49.680><c> the</c>

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extrapolation. I'm going to take the
 

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extrapolation. I'm going to take the
present<00:03:50.239><c> state</c><00:03:50.400><c> of</c><00:03:50.640><c> LLM</c><00:03:51.280><c> and</c><00:03:51.440><c> I'm</c><00:03:51.599><c> going</c><00:03:51.680><c> to</c>

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present state of LLM and I'm going to
 

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present state of LLM and I'm going to
treat<00:03:52.080><c> that</c><00:03:52.319><c> as</c><00:03:52.560><c> the</c><00:03:52.879><c> only</c><00:03:53.200><c> fact</c><00:03:53.519><c> that</c><00:03:53.840><c> exists.</c>

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treat that as the only fact that exists.
 

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treat that as the only fact that exists.
Period.<00:03:55.200><c> I</c><00:03:55.440><c> will</c><00:03:55.680><c> behave</c><00:03:56.000><c> as</c><00:03:56.239><c> though</c><00:03:56.480><c> there</c><00:03:56.720><c> is</c>

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Period. I will behave as though there is
 

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Period. I will behave as though there is
no<00:03:57.120><c> such</c><00:03:57.360><c> thing</c><00:03:57.519><c> as</c><00:03:57.920><c> progress.</c><00:03:58.480><c> There's</c><00:03:58.799><c> no</c>

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no such thing as progress. There's no
 

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no such thing as progress. There's no
such<00:03:59.200><c> thing</c><00:03:59.360><c> as</c><00:03:59.519><c> the</c><00:03:59.760><c> future.</c><00:04:00.159><c> There's</c><00:04:00.400><c> no</c>

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such thing as the future. There's no
 

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such thing as the future. There's no
such<00:04:00.879><c> thing</c><00:04:00.959><c> as</c><00:04:01.200><c> 12</c><00:04:01.439><c> to</c><00:04:01.680><c> 18</c><00:04:02.000><c> months</c><00:04:02.239><c> from</c><00:04:02.400><c> now.</c>

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such thing as 12 to 18 months from now.
 

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such thing as 12 to 18 months from now.
There<00:04:03.200><c> is</c><00:04:03.360><c> only</c><00:04:03.680><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:04:04.080><c> now.</c><00:04:04.560><c> And</c><00:04:04.799><c> right</c>

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There is only [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] now. And right
 

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There is only [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] now. And right
[&nbsp;__&nbsp;]<00:04:05.439><c> now,</c><00:04:05.760><c> LLMs</c><00:04:06.400><c> are</c><00:04:06.640><c> a</c><00:04:06.879><c> trick.</c><00:04:07.360><c> They</c><00:04:07.599><c> are</c>

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[&nbsp;__&nbsp;] now, LLMs are a trick. They are
 

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[&nbsp;__&nbsp;] now, LLMs are a trick. They are
not<00:04:07.920><c> AI.</c><00:04:08.400><c> They</c><00:04:08.560><c> trick</c><00:04:08.799><c> us</c><00:04:09.040><c> to</c><00:04:09.200><c> believing</c><00:04:09.599><c> they</c>

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not AI. They trick us to believing they
 

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not AI. They trick us to believing they
are<00:04:10.000><c> intelligent.</c><00:04:10.799><c> The</c><00:04:11.120><c> mechanism</c><00:04:11.760><c> matters.</c>

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are intelligent. The mechanism matters.
 

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are intelligent. The mechanism matters.
The<00:04:12.560><c> mechanism</c><00:04:13.200><c> absolutely</c><00:04:13.840><c> matters.</c><00:04:14.480><c> David</c>

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The mechanism absolutely matters. David
 

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The mechanism absolutely matters. David
Deutsch<00:04:15.280><c> talks</c><00:04:15.599><c> about</c><00:04:15.760><c> this</c><00:04:16.000><c> in</c><00:04:16.239><c> his</c><00:04:16.400><c> book.</c><00:04:16.720><c> He</c>

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Deutsch talks about this in his book. He
 

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Deutsch talks about this in his book. He
says<00:04:17.199><c> that</c><00:04:17.359><c> the</c><00:04:17.600><c> touring</c><00:04:18.000><c> test</c><00:04:18.320><c> isn't</c><00:04:18.720><c> just</c>

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says that the touring test isn't just
 

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says that the touring test isn't just
about<00:04:19.199><c> passing</c><00:04:19.600><c> AI</c><00:04:20.160><c> through</c><00:04:20.400><c> some</c><00:04:20.639><c> glory</c><00:04:21.040><c> hole</c>

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about passing AI through some glory hole
 

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about passing AI through some glory hole
and<00:04:21.759><c> determining</c><00:04:22.240><c> if</c><00:04:22.400><c> the</c><00:04:22.639><c> other</c><00:04:22.800><c> person</c>

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and determining if the other person
 

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and determining if the other person
thinks<00:04:23.360><c> it</c><00:04:23.520><c> tastes</c><00:04:23.759><c> good</c><00:04:23.919><c> or</c><00:04:24.080><c> not.</c><00:04:24.320><c> On</c><00:04:24.479><c> the</c>

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thinks it tastes good or not. On the
 

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thinks it tastes good or not. On the
other<00:04:24.720><c> end,</c><00:04:25.040><c> if</c><00:04:25.280><c> you</c><00:04:25.360><c> could</c><00:04:25.520><c> pass</c><00:04:25.759><c> the</c><00:04:25.919><c> Turing</c>

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other end, if you could pass the Turing
 

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other end, if you could pass the Turing
test<00:04:26.560><c> by</c><00:04:26.800><c> tricking</c><00:04:27.199><c> people,</c><00:04:27.600><c> then</c><00:04:27.840><c> what</c><00:04:28.000><c> the</c>

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test by tricking people, then what the
 

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test by tricking people, then what the
[&nbsp;__&nbsp;]<00:04:28.320><c> is</c><00:04:28.560><c> the</c><00:04:28.720><c> point</c><00:04:28.880><c> of</c><00:04:29.040><c> the</c><00:04:29.199><c> Turing</c><00:04:29.680><c> test?</c>

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[&nbsp;__&nbsp;] is the point of the Turing test?
 

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[&nbsp;__&nbsp;] is the point of the Turing test?
You<00:04:30.400><c> can</c><00:04:30.560><c> polish</c><00:04:30.960><c> a</c><00:04:31.199><c> lie</c><00:04:31.680><c> forever</c><00:04:32.160><c> and</c><00:04:32.400><c> it</c>

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You can polish a lie forever and it
 

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You can polish a lie forever and it
never<00:04:32.960><c> becomes</c><00:04:33.360><c> the</c><00:04:33.600><c> truth.</c><00:04:34.160><c> You</c><00:04:34.240><c> can</c><00:04:34.400><c> put</c><00:04:34.479><c> a</c>

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never becomes the truth. You can put a
 

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never becomes the truth. You can put a
billion<00:04:35.040><c> more</c><00:04:35.280><c> parameters</c><00:04:35.759><c> on</c><00:04:35.919><c> the</c><00:04:36.080><c> lie</c><00:04:36.320><c> and</c>

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billion more parameters on the lie and
 

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billion more parameters on the lie and
it's<00:04:36.639><c> a</c><00:04:36.800><c> bigger</c><00:04:37.120><c> lie</c><00:04:37.360><c> now.</c><00:04:37.759><c> Like,</c>

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it's a bigger lie now. Like,
 

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it's a bigger lie now. Like,
congratulations.<00:04:39.440><c> LLMs</c><00:04:40.160><c> are</c><00:04:40.320><c> an</c><00:04:40.639><c> elaborate</c>

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congratulations. LLMs are an elaborate
 

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congratulations. LLMs are an elaborate
trick.<00:04:41.759><c> There</c><00:04:42.000><c> is</c><00:04:42.160><c> no</c><00:04:42.400><c> theory</c><00:04:42.800><c> in</c><00:04:43.040><c> there.</c><00:04:43.520><c> It's</c>

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trick. There is no theory in there. It's
 

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trick. There is no theory in there. It's
brute<00:04:44.160><c> forcing</c><00:04:44.639><c> statistics</c><00:04:45.120><c> to</c><00:04:45.360><c> trick</c><00:04:45.680><c> people</c>

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brute forcing statistics to trick people
 

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brute forcing statistics to trick people
for<00:04:46.639><c> long</c><00:04:46.960><c> durations,</c><00:04:47.840><c> long</c><00:04:48.160><c> enough</c><00:04:48.400><c> for</c><00:04:48.560><c> you</c>

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for long durations, long enough for you
 

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for long durations, long enough for you
to<00:04:48.880><c> be</c><00:04:49.040><c> tricked</c><00:04:49.360><c> into</c><00:04:49.600><c> forcing</c><00:04:50.000><c> your</c><00:04:50.240><c> entire</c>

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to be tricked into forcing your entire
 

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to be tricked into forcing your entire
company<00:04:51.440><c> to</c><00:04:51.680><c> think</c><00:04:51.919><c> this</c><00:04:52.160><c> is</c><00:04:52.400><c> intelligent</c><00:04:53.199><c> and</c>

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company to think this is intelligent and
 

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company to think this is intelligent and
that<00:04:53.600><c> they</c><00:04:53.759><c> have</c><00:04:53.919><c> to</c><00:04:54.080><c> use</c><00:04:54.240><c> this</c><00:04:54.479><c> tool</c><00:04:54.720><c> to</c>

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that they have to use this tool to
 

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that they have to use this tool to
maximize<00:04:55.680><c> productivity.</c><00:04:56.479><c> The</c><00:04:56.639><c> real</c><00:04:56.960><c> turing</c>

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maximize productivity. The real turing
 

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maximize productivity. The real turing
test<00:04:57.520><c> is</c><00:04:57.759><c> whether</c><00:04:58.000><c> the</c><00:04:58.240><c> human</c><00:04:58.720><c> on</c><00:04:58.880><c> the</c><00:04:59.040><c> other</c>

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test is whether the human on the other
 

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test is whether the human on the other
end<00:04:59.520><c> is</c><00:04:59.840><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:05:00.240><c> stupid</c><00:05:00.560><c> enough</c><00:05:00.880><c> to</c><00:05:01.120><c> replace</c>

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end is [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] stupid enough to replace
 

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end is [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] stupid enough to replace
their<00:05:01.680><c> entire</c><00:05:02.080><c> labor</c><00:05:02.479><c> pool</c><00:05:03.120><c> with</c><00:05:03.440><c> this</c>

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their entire labor pool with this
 

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their entire labor pool with this
statistical<00:05:04.320><c> ass</c><00:05:04.560><c> tool</c><00:05:04.800><c> that</c><00:05:05.120><c> builds</c><00:05:05.600><c> in</c>

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statistical ass tool that builds in
 

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statistical ass tool that builds in
inside<00:05:06.320><c> the</c><00:05:06.639><c> distribution</c><00:05:07.280><c> demo</c><00:05:08.000><c> and</c><00:05:08.240><c> thinks</c>

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inside the distribution demo and thinks
 

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inside the distribution demo and thinks
it<00:05:08.720><c> could</c><00:05:08.880><c> build</c><00:05:09.120><c> anything.</c><00:05:09.680><c> The</c><00:05:09.919><c> bot</c><00:05:10.240><c> doesn't</c>

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it could build anything. The bot doesn't
 

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it could build anything. The bot doesn't
have<00:05:10.720><c> to</c><00:05:10.880><c> be</c><00:05:11.280><c> intelligent.</c><00:05:12.479><c> It</c><00:05:12.639><c> just</c><00:05:12.880><c> has</c><00:05:12.960><c> to</c>

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have to be intelligent. It just has to
 

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have to be intelligent. It just has to
be<00:05:13.280><c> more</c><00:05:13.520><c> convincing</c><00:05:14.000><c> than</c><00:05:14.240><c> the</c><00:05:14.400><c> median</c><00:05:14.800><c> CEO</c>

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be more convincing than the median CEO
 

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be more convincing than the median CEO
is<00:05:15.520><c> skeptical.</c><00:05:16.320><c> Oh,</c><00:05:16.560><c> but</c><00:05:16.800><c> how</c><00:05:16.960><c> do</c><00:05:17.039><c> you</c><00:05:17.120><c> know</c>

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is skeptical. Oh, but how do you know
 

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is skeptical. Oh, but how do you know
the<00:05:17.520><c> human</c><00:05:17.840><c> brain</c><00:05:18.080><c> isn't</c><00:05:18.479><c> just</c><00:05:18.639><c> dumb</c>

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the human brain isn't just dumb
 

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the human brain isn't just dumb
statistics,<00:05:19.600><c> too?</c><00:05:20.240><c> Go</c><00:05:20.880><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:05:21.600><c> yourself.</c><00:05:22.880><c> Go</c>

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statistics, too? Go [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] yourself. Go
 

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statistics, too? Go [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] yourself. Go
[&nbsp;__&nbsp;]<00:05:23.440><c> yourself.</c><00:05:24.320><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:05:24.560><c> you.</c><00:05:25.120><c> I</c><00:05:25.360><c> will</c><00:05:25.680><c> never</c>

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[&nbsp;__&nbsp;] yourself. [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] you. I will never
 

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[&nbsp;__&nbsp;] yourself. [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] you. I will never
again<00:05:26.960><c> extrapolate.</c><00:05:28.160><c> I</c><00:05:28.400><c> will</c><00:05:28.560><c> never</c><00:05:28.960><c> again</c>

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again extrapolate. I will never again
 

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again extrapolate. I will never again
speak<00:05:29.759><c> of</c><00:05:30.160><c> progress.</c><00:05:30.960><c> I</c><00:05:31.199><c> will</c><00:05:31.360><c> never</c><00:05:31.600><c> again</c>

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speak of progress. I will never again
 

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speak of progress. I will never again
give<00:05:32.160><c> this</c><00:05:32.400><c> technology</c><00:05:33.039><c> the</c><00:05:33.280><c> benefit</c><00:05:33.680><c> of</c><00:05:33.919><c> the</c>

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give this technology the benefit of the
 

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give this technology the benefit of the
doubt.<00:05:34.800><c> I</c><00:05:35.039><c> will</c><00:05:35.199><c> take</c><00:05:35.360><c> the</c><00:05:35.600><c> present</c><00:05:36.320><c> and</c>

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doubt. I will take the present and
 

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doubt. I will take the present and
evaluate<00:05:37.280><c> that</c><00:05:37.520><c> on</c><00:05:37.680><c> its</c><00:05:37.919><c> own</c><00:05:38.080><c> merit.</c><00:05:38.639><c> Just</c>

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evaluate that on its own merit. Just
 

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evaluate that on its own merit. Just
like<00:05:39.039><c> we</c><00:05:39.280><c> judge</c><00:05:39.680><c> literally</c><00:05:40.080><c> everything</c><00:05:40.400><c> else</c>

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like we judge literally everything else
 

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like we judge literally everything else
we<00:05:40.880><c> buy,</c><00:05:41.840><c> nothing</c><00:05:42.160><c> else</c><00:05:42.479><c> matters.</c><00:05:43.520><c> Everything</c>

00:05:43.909 --> 00:05:43.919 align:start position:0%
we buy, nothing else matters. Everything
 

00:05:43.919 --> 00:05:46.230 align:start position:0%
we buy, nothing else matters. Everything
else<00:05:44.240><c> is</c><00:05:44.560><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:05:45.039><c> fear,</c><00:05:45.600><c> confusion,</c>

00:05:46.230 --> 00:05:46.240 align:start position:0%
else is [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] fear, confusion,
 

00:05:46.240 --> 00:05:49.029 align:start position:0%
else is [&nbsp;__&nbsp;] fear, confusion,
uncertainty,<00:05:47.039><c> doubt,</c><00:05:47.440><c> and</c><00:05:47.680><c> propaganda.</c>

00:05:49.029 --> 00:05:49.039 align:start position:0%
uncertainty, doubt, and propaganda.
 

00:05:49.039 --> 00:05:52.560 align:start position:0%
uncertainty, doubt, and propaganda.
Thank<00:05:49.199><c> you</c><00:05:49.360><c> for</c><00:05:49.520><c> [&nbsp;__&nbsp;]</c><00:05:49.840><c> watching.</c>